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Buhari: The Pastor Bakare vice presidency

The Pastor Bakare vice presidency

Abimbola Adelakun

The touted choice of Pastor Tunde Bakare as the running mate of Gen. Muhammadu Buhari is a smart one even though it shows some pandering to ethnic and religious sentiments. For a man like Buhari, who has been labelled as a Sharia fundamentalist, choosing a pastor and an activist - a relatively younger one for that matter - as his deputy is all he needs to dispel the vicious image.


The Pastor Bakare vice presidency


Not just that, I see the Buhari/Bakare ticket as a repetition of history. During the first coming of Buhari, it was widely believed his non-smiling deputy, Gen. Tunde (another Tunde!) Idiagbon, was the real power behind the throne. Buhari might just be choosing another man, who will do the real job of cleaning Nigeria's murk, while he does what he has been wanting for years: wield executive power. Bakare is fiery, brilliant and understands the issues that afflict our nation. He will be a great boost to Buhari's candidacy whose ambition to be Nigeria's civilian president has been defeated twice.

So, should Pastor Bakare run?All eyes are on him and he says his are on God. Personally, I feel the idea of waiting on God to decide whether to run or not should be completely overhauled. In Nigeria, this is a too familiar line and, has been used in dishonest circumstances by politicians and military rulers.

Another Pastor, Chris Okotie of the FRESH Party, insists his candidature is God-sponsored even though he has repeatedly failed in his 'divine' quest for the presidency.

President Goodluck Jonathan didn't pretend he was waiting on God but implied he would think about it. While doing so, all manner of voices came and impersonated God's. Today, Jonathan is running as president. Nobody in Nigeria, who has ever waited on God, has ever turned down the opportunity to run for a juicy position. For somebody like Gen. Abdusalami Abubakar, who made it clear, very early in his administration, that he was not going to be listening for God's voice and he would hand over to a democratically elected president, 'God' (or his human agents) never erected hoadings or start several associations to whisper 'Run, Son, run' to him. From my experience, once you begin to toy with the desire, God's voice will come saying what you want to hear and the voice of the people becomes the voice of God.
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For Bakare, the questions are legion: So, is that what the Save Nigeria Group and all the activism are all about? Did he become an activist in order to gain political advantage? Is his trenchant denouncement of all the previous and incumbent administrations, self-serving or done in the interest of the public good? The stories of $50,000 by President Jonathan's men will no longer seem like that of a honest man but one who simply wanted to put down a rival.

For somebody who has been a consistent critic of politicians, his new position is no longer that of a critic but a competitor.

There is also the issue of whether Nigerians will trust a critic as a leader. The last time a critic like late Gani Fawehinmi became a politician, for all his goodness of heart and contributions to the Nigeria of our dreams, Nigerians still didn't vote for him en masse. The same Nigerians whose right he fought for on many fronts, was imprisoned several times for and, frightfully, died as a consequence of his prison sufferings didn't think he could be their leader. Come election time that year, more Nigerians, like a woman, who craves an abusive lover, voted for people who had brutalised and plundered their economy.

As an aside, this idea of a Christian/Muslim ticket for political office should be de-emphasised. Anybody, regardless of his religious persuasion or lack of it, should be able to aspire to political leadership without having to pretend to belong to Christianity or Islam. Most leaders, who have come in the name of God, built churches and mosques in the state house have turned out to be largely frauds.

I have heard argument in some quarters that Pastors should not be involved in politics. People, who tow this line of reasoning only say so because they have not been involved in church politics. From my experience, I can say their politicking is as full of intrigue as that of Peoples Democratic Party and Action Congress of Nigeria, if not more sordid. When the leaders of national religious bodies are to be elected, the way they sometimes go about it makes one wonder if God would be given a chance to present His candidate at all. There have been instances when succession crises in churches have been taken to court even though the Bible expressly forbids this.

I followed the Christian Association of Nigerian Presidential election last year and I could not get over the intrigues that attended the process of choosing the leader.

If Bakare wants to take a chance of taking the politics into a more heterogeneous arena, good luck to him as long as he can do it and remain Pastor Bakare.

There are two things that are likely to happen if Bakare should say 'yes, I do' to Buhari: one, they might run and win. Whether Buhari tries or not to run a second term, Bakare might want to be president from that point.

Two, they might lose. The very things that stand as Buhari's advantage are also his disadvantages. He is older (68 and by 2015, will be 72) and he has been trying too hard to be president. In Nigeria, those who desire to be president never seem to make it. As the instances of Chief Obafemi Awolowo, MKO Abiola and lately, Atiku Abubakar have shown us, it takes much more than ambition and good intention to make the presidency. Conversely, those who appeared initially reluctant like Olusegun Obasanjo, Yar'Adua and Jonathan went farther.

Another minus for Buhari is that he was a dictator who was able to achieve some discipline during his first coming because he ruled by military fiat. In a democracy, can he repress people the same way to get them disciplined? I doubt it. He has been out of leadership for 25 years and that is a long time in the life of a nation. But will Pastor Bakare's no-nonsense image boost all the areas in which Buhari's candidature flags? The next 10 weeks will tell.

One good thing is this: Bakare's personality will boost the political arena that is currently flat. Thank God for Atiku, the PDP primaries would not have been worth watching the way Sarah Jibril ended up as a metaphor of one woman one vote. With Pastor Bakare's emergence, the bar will go higher and maybe the other candidates, who have concluded that the presidency is a done deal, might even get more creative and finally begin to talk about issues. In that case, I think Bakare should not just go for VP-ship. It might not be worth the amount of effort he would be putting in the campaign simply to light it up. In fact, if he would be criticised for turning activism to political advantage, he should go all the way and not short change himself by accepting to be a VP. He should go for the presidency instead.
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Within the week, when the leadership of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) publicly declared that the North will occupy the Presidency till 2015, the coast was cleared for aspirants from that part of
the country to oil their political machinery for the 2011 electoral
contest.

READ the PLOT by Justice katsina Alu : http://bit.ly/cHkNau


One of those who may be the direct beneficiaries of that policy
is former Military President, General Ibrahim Babangida, especially
since it is almost foreclosed that President Umar Musa Yar’Adua
will not seek re-election. For the south south ticket James ohanefe Ibori is billed to take over as Vice president .


Saturday Sun gathered that in the last three months, as Yar’Adua’s health problem rocked the nation, many
forces, within the country and outside, have been shopping for his
likely replacement in 2011. Sources revealed that the choice has
been narrowed down to Babangida, a member of the PDP..
ibb.jpg
It is generally believed that the death of his wife had put a stop
to his ambition of returning to Aso Rock but a close IBB confidant
said that, the manner Nigerians sympathised with him during his
trying period has humbled him the more and if given the opportunity
he wants to reciprocate by giving Nigerians quality and good governance.
The message of appreciation he sent to Nigerians conveys his emotion
on the love Nigerians showed his family. In the message, he stated,
“my dear compatriots, you have once again stood by us at a
time and moment when my family and I are need your support, consolation
and prayers. No amount of gratitude and appreciation I could offer
to you could convey succinctly how deeply touched and grateful my
family and I are to all of you… my family is most humbled
by these kind words and expressions you conveyed to extol the virtues
of my late wife during your visits.”

Last September, three months before the death of his wife, he said
he would make consultations before taking a position on the 2011
presidential elections. He then admitted that not only his aides
and associates, but various interest groups were mounting pressure
on him to return to partisan politics.

Now that the pressure has included the US, would he take a position?
Time will tell. Some elements in the North believe that he is not
only qualified to occupy the highest political office in the country
but is also popular, having been head of state for eight years.
Also, foreign countries, which want stability in the country are
said to have equally penciled down Babangida for support, ahead
of 2011 elections.

Ibori.jpg

The US connection
It was gathered that the United States has indicated interest in Babangida and has actually reached out to him on its thinking. Sources
said that the recent visit of a strong US delegation to Nigeria,
comprising Jonnie Carson, the country’s assistant secretary
of state for African Affairs and Robin Sanders, its ambassador to
Nigeria is part of the plan to draft Babangida to the 2011 race.

It was gathered that even though Babangida has not come out openly
to declare his interest for the 2011 presidential election, the
pressure on him is high. Sources said that due to the calibre of
forces urging him to join the race, he would buckle eventually.

A source maintained that the US has followed the political situation
in the country and has come to the conclusion that Nigeria needs
a president who would restore confidence and leadership. It said
that many people have been considered.

Sources said that among those considered is Brig-General Buba Marwa,
former Nigeria’s military attaché to the US and current
Nigeria’s Ambassador to South Africa. He was said to have
been dropped because the US group believes that it may be difficult
for the former governor of Lagos State to be accepted by other parts
of the country.
It was gathered that Babangida eventually got endorsement after
people like Mr. George Bush Sr, who was president in US when Babangida
was military president in Nigeria put in words. The Bush Snr. support,
it was gathered, informed why immediate past US president, George
W. Bush, wanted to meet with Babangida when he visited Nigeria for
the ThisDay awards.

Before the President Barrack Obama’s delegation to Babangida,
the US and European Union had lamented the uncertainty in Nigeria,
caused by the absence of President Yar’Adua. In a joint statement
signed by US Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, British Foreign
Secretary, David Miliband, France’s Foreign Minister, Bernard
Kouchner and European Union High Representative, Catherine Ashton,
the US and EU noted: “Nigeria is going through a period of
uncertainty because of the prolonged illness of President Musa Yar’Adua.
Nigeria’s stability and democracy carry great significance
beyond its immediate borders, given its importance as a global oil
producer and stabilising force in West Africa.”

In the quest to help Nigeria get stability, the US therefore, wants
a leader it thinks would build institutions, as President Obama
earlier suggested.
However, apart from the US, it was gathered that Nigerians, especially
power brokers in the North are also putting pressure on Babangida
to join the race for next year’s presidency.

Maryam death angle
It was gathered that the death of Babangida’s wife, Maryam, last December 27, served as a rallying point for some politicians,
who want Babangida back at the presidency. Within the period when
Maryam was buried and her 40th day fidau, paraphernalia of offices
of state governments across the country literally relocated to Minna.
At Minna even though politicians came for mourning, there were reconciliation
of political foes and realignment of political forces.

Initially, there was the belief that the death of Maryam would sound
the death knel on Babangida’s comeback hope, but the goodwill
that came with it boosted the confidence of the retired general,
it was gathered. Babangida’s confidant said that the manner
Nigerians, from all walks of life sympathised with him, during his
trying period, humbled Babangida the more and made him to hope that
an opportunity would come for him to reciprocate by giving the Nigerian
people quality and good governance. The message of appreciation
he sent to Nigerians conveyed his emotion on the love Nigerians
showed his family.

In the message, he stated: “ My dear compatriots, you have
once again stood by us at a time and moment when my family and I
need your support, consolation and prayers.”

The North’s thinking
It was gathered that the northern political elite, believing that it gambled and lost out with the Yar’Adua presidency, thinks
that with a candidate like Babangida the geopolitical zone will
bounce back to political reckoning, just as General Olusegun Obasanjo
brought back South West to political relevance at the federal level.
Sources said that the declaration that no serving or former governor
from the North will succeed Yar’Adua was part of the signal
to draft Babangida into the race. Indeed, a frontline northern critic
and retired Army Major, Abubakar Umar, had warned that the northern
governors, who are nursing the ambition of succeeding Yar’Adua
should bury such plans. According to him, none of these northern
governors is competent to rule the country. He said that some of
the governors, apart from their dismal performance, were found wanting
when the Economic and Financial Crime Commission (EFCC) checked
their books.

Considering the offer
It was gathered that Babangida is considering the offer to succeed Yar’Adua. He is said to be examining the various forces angling
for his entry into the race, to ascertain if they mean well or just
want to drag him out and disgrace him. Also, he wants to be sure
that Nigerians would accept him.

Sources close to him said that one of the ways the former Head of
State wants to find out how Nigerians feel about him was for his
associates to commission a research to find out how Nigerians would
receive his entry into the presidential race. It was gathered that
this move is preparatory to him officially declaring to replace
Yar’Adua next year.

Former national treasurer of PDP, Dr. Godwin Daboh, who is among
those putting pressure on Babangida to join the 2011 race, had said
that result of research conducted in the six geopolitical zones
showed that over 70 percent of Nigerians want Babangida in the presidency
in 2011. This seems to have buoyed the confidence of the group,
which are surreptitiously revving their political structures.

With such finding, associates of Babangida have subtly started making
comments to prepare the ground. One of his former aides and ex-military
intelligence officer when Babangida was in power, Captain Sagir
Mohammed (retd), recently said that the constitution is clear on
who could be presidential candidate. According to him, “the
Nigerian people who decide who becomes the president have not, in
any way, foreclosed his possibility of becoming the president and
we have no proof that those few who want him not to contest, represent
the view of Nigerian people.”

He remarked that General Babangida holds the record as one of the
greatest leaders that have ever ruled the country, since the period
of amalgamation, adding that he has a record of achievements unsurpassed
by many Nigerian leaders before and after him. The former military
officer said Nigerians now have the unique opportunity of comparing
the Babangida regime with what the country has had after him.

Resurrecting political structures
It was gathered that Babangida has refused to disclose his political
activities for fear of being accused of contributing in heating
up the polity and destablising the Yar’Adua government. Sources
said that he wants to meet with President Yar’Adua, to ascertain
his plan for 2011 before making a public declaration on his intention.
In the meantime, it was gathered that his political associates have
started resurrecting his political structures secretly, preparatory
to his declaration.

One of them, who pleaded anonymity said: “We are now resurrecting
our structures because it is evident that going by the internal
and external pressures mounted on IBB to run for 2011 presidential
election, he would succumb. The unity and progress of this country
is very uppermost in his mind.”

His clout
Events have proved that Babangida is a force to be reckoned with in PDP and the polity. In 2006, many people picked nomination forms
for various offices because Babangida was expected to run for the
president. Some of them, especially those who wanted to be governors,
had actually paid the non-refundable N2m to pick nomination forms.
They, however, dropped their aspirations when it became clear that
Babangida was no longer interested in the presidency, following
the aspiration of Yar’Adua. Babangida had put what happened
into perspective then when he said that he pulled out because he
did not want to go into a contest with any member of the Yar’Adua
family because he saw them as his brothers. He revealed that Yar’Adua’s
father had told him not to ever do anything that would put him on
collision course with any of his children, as they grew up together.

Read more…

Those who could be vice president

Aliyu Muhammed Gusau

Aliyu Gusau has always been in the precipice of power. Commonly referred to as the ‘spy master’, this retired army general has constantly had a role to play in the balance of power in the country. The recluse former intelligence officer first rose to prominence when he was made the Director of Military Intelligence under former President Shehu Shagari.

Mr. Gusau and Oladipupo Diya, another retired general, were also said to be masterminds behind the fall of the Ernest Shonekan-led Interim National Government. Under the Ibrahim Babangida regime, he became the Chief of Army Staff and was appointed National Security Adviser under former president Olusegun Obasanjo.

Adamu Aliero

Adamu Aliero was born on January 1, 1957 in Aliero Local Government in Kebbi State. Mr. Aliero graduated from the Ahmadu Bello University, Zaria, with a Bachelors of Science degree in Political Science. His political career took off in 1998 when he contested for a senatorial seat under the banner of the United Nigerian Congress Party (UNCP). Mr. Aliero, a former customs officer, was elected governor for two terms of four years each on the platform of the opposition All Nigerian Peoples Party (ANPP) but switched loyalty to the ruling People’s Democratic Party (PDP) at the end of his second term as governor and was elected into the Senate in 2007. He, however, vacated his seat in the senate when he was appointed Minister of the Federal Capital Territory in December 2008.

Sule Lamido

Born in April 1948, Sule Lamido was appointed minister of foreign affairs in 1999 by former president Olusegun Obasanjo and Mr. Lamido retained that position until 2003. Mr. Lamido was the National Secretary of the defunct Social Democratic Party during the Third Republic and was heavily criticised for his handling of the botched June 12 1993 presidential elections believed to have been won by the late Moshood Abiola. He was, however, imprisoned in 1998 by the late dictator Sani Abacha for criticising Mr. Abacha’s plan to perpetuate himself in office. He was elected governor of Jigawa State in 2007. Mr. Lamido has been involved in politics for more than 30 years. His political career dates back to his days in the defunct People’s Redemption Party (PRP)..

Jubril Aminu

Born August 1939, the senator representing the Adamawa Central Senatorial district attended the University of Ibadan, where he graduated in 1965 as a medical doctor. Mr. Aminu was the Vice-Chancellor of the University of Maiduguri between 1980 and 1985, and has been education minister and also petroleum and mineral resources minister under the Ibrahim Babangida regime between 1989 and 1992. He was also Executive Secretary of the National Universities Commission and then Nigerian Ambassador to the United States between 1999 and 2003.

Mr. Aminu was a delegate of the Nigerian National Constitutional Conference from 1994 to 1995, and has been a senator since 2003 on the platform of the People’s Democratic Party. Chairman of the senate committee on foreign affairs, he was mentioned in a German court as one of the beneficiaries of the $12.7million bribe allegedly paid by Siemens between 2001 and 2004 to top government officials to secure contracts in Nigeria.

Murtala Nyako

Murtala Hammanyero Nyako, a retired vice-admiral of the Nigerian Navy, was elected governor of Adamawa State in 2007 on the platform of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP).

Mr. Nyako, born on August 27, 1943 was appointed Chief of Naval Staff in January 1990 and Deputy Chief of Defence Staff in 1992 before retiring from the Navy in 1993.

Mr. Nyako’s election as governor, in the 2007 general elections, was nullified by the the Adamawa State Election Petitions Tribunal. He, however, won the re-run election held on April 26,

2008. He was a member of the National Security and Defence Council (NSDC) which annulled the June 12, 1993 presidential election.

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